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Estimated Taxes and the Estimated Tax Penalty

Calculating How Much Estimated Tax to Pay


Updated April 16, 2014
Paying estimated taxes is one way for individuals to remit payments for their taxes to the federal government. Generally, people who have incomes that aren't subject to tax withholding at the source of payment should consider making estimated payments. Types of income without withholding including business income, rental income, investment income and capital gains. Taxpayers who have withholding on their wages or pensions can consider increasing the amount of tax withheld to cover the tax on their other sources of income.

The Estimated Tax Penalty

As a general recommendation, taxpayers should consider prepaying tax through estimated tax payments so as to avoid the penalty for the underpayment of estimated taxes. To avoid the penalty, individuals will need to pay in "at least 90% of the tax for the current year, or 100% of the tax shown on the return for the prior year, whichever is smaller," Tax Topic 306, IRS.gov.

The estimated tax penalty is essentially a charge for interest for not paying taxes throughout the year. The current interest rate for underpayments by individuals is 3%. (The IRS sets this rate each quarter.)

Figuring out how much to pay in estimated taxes

The easiest method for calculating estimated payments is to divide last year's unfunded tax liability in four, and then make estimated payments using this figure. To do this, look on last year's tax return and find your total tax liability. Then subtract any withholding you expect to pay in for this year. If your withholding will be about the same as last year, you could subtract last year's withholding amount. The difference is the amount of tax that needs to be paid in through estimated taxes.

This method, while quick and easy to calculate, does not take into account changes in your income or changes in your deductions for the current year. You might have more income, or less income, or qualify for different tax deductions. The alternate method is to project a tax calculation based on this year's income.

What I do is run a report showing income and deductions for the year using a financial software program. Financial software can generate a report showing income and deductions for the year-to-date (or any other time period you want to measure). I then export the figures into a spreadsheet program for further number crunching. Be sure to multiply these year-to-date amounts to cover the entire year. To make the math easier, you may want to run the report based on, the first half of the year, for example, and then you could multiply by two to get a projected full year figures.

Using these annualized income and deduction figures, you will calculate your projected tax liability. You will need to know the current year's tax rates. And you would subtract any withholding or tax credits you will be eligible for in order to find out exactly how much needs to be paid in through estimated tax payments.

To help keep track of these tax calculations, the IRS has a worksheet available with Form 1040-ES (pdf). This worksheet will help you calculate the minimum amount of estimated tax you should pay to avoid the penalty. The worksheet also includes all of the current year figures for standard deductions and tax rates, to help you obtain an accurate figure for this year's estimated payments. (Here's a sample estimated tax calculation so you can see the sort of math involved.)

After setting up your own spreadsheet, be sure to save it for future reference. Once the spreadsheet is set up, you can use it again to get a more accurate projection of your tax liability later in the year. And then you will be able to adjust your estimated payments so you pay in just the right amount.

Estimated tax payments are due quarterly. Here's a list of the payment due dates.

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